| Contract | Net (Large Specs) | 2y percentile | Read | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | +14,121 | 84.1% | neutral zone | 2026-10-27 |
| JPY | +101,591 | 79.4% | neutral zone | 2026-10-27 |
| Level | Size | Note | Expiry |
|---|---|---|---|
| 157 | medium | DTCC 300m expiry≤2w (report 2026-11-05) | 2026-11-06 |
| 157.18 | medium | DTCC 200m expiry≤2w (report 2026-11-05) | 2026-11-06 |
| 157.2 | medium | DTCC 150m expiry≤2w (report 2026-11-05) | 2026-11-06 |
As of 06 November 2026, our multi-factor bias score for USD/JPY is -0.78 - a neutral. The score combines range stretch (1W and 3M), CFTC COT positioning, seasonality and macro momentum.
Large speculators are net +14,121 contracts on USD (84.1% of the 2-year range). Extremes above 85% or below 15% often precede reversals.
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VIX 28.18 (98.8% 1y percentile) · Macro 20d: oil -2.6% · gold -1.1% · USD -0.65%
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