USD/JPY Market Sentiment - 21 September 2026

Updated 05:00 UTC · refreshed 3x daily (09:30, 14:00, 17:30 EET) from OANDA order flow, CFTC COT, option expiries and macro data. Educational research - not investment advice.

Multi-factor bias score
+1.82 · MILD LONG LEAN
Range stretch: 1W 75.1% · 3M 36.1% · last price 157.02

COT positioning (CFTC, Large Speculators)

ContractNet (Large Specs)2y percentileReadReport
USD+10,59376.6%neutral zone2026-09-15
JPY+120,35983.2%neutral zone2026-09-15

Option expiry levels on our radar

LevelSizeNoteExpiry
155mediumDTCC 150m expiry≤2w (report 2026-09-18)2026-09-21
157mediumDTCC 624m expiry≤2w (report 2026-09-18)2026-09-21
157.5mediumDTCC 250m expiry≤2w (report 2026-09-18)2026-09-21

Upcoming events for USDJPY

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What is the USDJPY sentiment today?

As of 21 September 2026, our multi-factor bias score for USD/JPY is +1.82 - a mild long lean. The score combines range stretch (1W and 3M), CFTC COT positioning, seasonality and macro momentum.

What does COT positioning show for USDJPY?

Large speculators are net +10,593 contracts on USD (76.6% of the 2-year range). Extremes above 85% or below 15% often precede reversals.

Where can I see the full USDJPY analysis?

The full daily trade board - entry/stop/target setups, 10-factor confluence scoring, live order-flow zones and alerts - is available to members. A free preview with real daily samples is at investingbridge.eu/preview.

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VIX 14.81 (6.2% 1y percentile) · Macro 20d: oil 11.7% · gold -4.9% · USD 1.61%
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