USD/JPY Market Sentiment - 08 August 2026

Updated 13:07 UTC · refreshed 3x daily (09:30, 14:00, 17:30 EET) from OANDA order flow, CFTC COT, option expiries and macro data. Educational research - not investment advice.

Multi-factor bias score
-1.42 · MILD SHORT LEAN
Range stretch: 1W 57.2% · 3M 36.9% · last price 158.322

COT positioning (CFTC, Large Speculators)

ContractNet (Large Specs)2y percentileReadReport
USD+17,19793.5%long-heavy extreme2026-07-28
JPY-163,4120.9%short-heavy extreme2026-07-28

Option expiry levels on our radar

LevelSizeNoteExpiry
156mediumDTCC 192m expiry≤2w (report 2026-08-06)2026-08-10
155.8mediumDTCC 333m expiry≤2w (report 2026-08-06)2026-08-11
156.25mediumDTCC 241m expiry≤2w (report 2026-08-06)2026-08-12

Upcoming events for USDJPY

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What is the USDJPY sentiment today?

As of 08 August 2026, our multi-factor bias score for USD/JPY is -1.42 - a mild short lean. The score combines range stretch (1W and 3M), CFTC COT positioning, seasonality and macro momentum.

What does COT positioning show for USDJPY?

Large speculators are net +17,197 contracts on USD (93.5% of the 2-year range). Extremes above 85% or below 15% often precede reversals.

Where can I see the full USDJPY analysis?

The full daily trade board - entry/stop/target setups, 10-factor confluence scoring, live order-flow zones and alerts - is available to members. A free preview with real daily samples is at investingbridge.eu/preview.

Market sentiment for other instruments

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VIX 15.15 (11.2% 1y percentile) · Macro 20d: oil 11.0% · gold 2.8% · USD -1.04%
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