| Contract | Net (Large Specs) | 2y percentile | Read | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU | +230,338 | 56.1% | neutral zone | 2026-09-15 |
| USD | +10,593 | 76.6% | neutral zone | 2026-09-15 |
| Level | Size | Note | Expiry |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4073.1 | medium | GLD OI 3k @ 375 (ratio 10.86) (~$103m) | 2026-09-21 |
| 4561.8 | medium | GLD OI 1k @ 420 (ratio 10.86) (~$61m) | 2026-09-21 |
| 4344.6 | medium | GLD OI 1k @ 400 (ratio 10.86) (~$35m) | 2026-09-21 |
As of 21 September 2026, our multi-factor bias score for Gold (XAU/USD) is -0.51 - a neutral. The score combines range stretch (1W and 3M), CFTC COT positioning, seasonality and macro momentum.
Large speculators are net +230,338 contracts on XAU (56.1% of the 2-year range). Extremes above 85% or below 15% often precede reversals.
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VIX 14.81 (6.2% 1y percentile) · Macro 20d: oil 11.7% · gold -4.9% · USD 1.61%
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