| Contract | Net (Large Specs) | 2y percentile | Read | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US30 | +14,903 | 91.6% | long-heavy extreme | 2026-09-15 |
| USD | +10,593 | 76.6% | neutral zone | 2026-09-15 |
| Level | Size | Note | Expiry |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53244 | medium | DIA OI 4k @ 529 (ratio 100.651) (~$214m) | 2026-09-25 |
| 53043 | medium | DIA OI 4k @ 527 (ratio 100.651) (~$193m) | 2026-09-25 |
| 52842 | medium | DIA OI 2k @ 525 (ratio 100.651) (~$130m) | 2026-09-25 |
As of 21 September 2026, our multi-factor bias score for Dow Jones is -1.20 - a mild short lean. The score combines range stretch (1W and 3M), CFTC COT positioning, seasonality and macro momentum.
Large speculators are net +14,903 contracts on US30 (91.6% of the 2-year range). Extremes above 85% or below 15% often precede reversals.
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EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY AUDUSD USDCAD NZDUSD USDCHF XAUUSD BTCUSD SPX500 NAS100 WTI
VIX 14.81 (6.2% 1y percentile) · Macro 20d: oil 11.7% · gold -4.9% · USD 1.61%
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