| Contract | Net (Large Specs) | 2y percentile | Read | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | +2,720 | 88.8% | long-heavy extreme | 2026-10-27 |
| USD | +14,121 | 84.1% | neutral zone | 2026-10-27 |
| Level | Size | Note | Expiry |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78000 | large | Deribit OI 1093 BTC (~$83m) | 2026-11-07 |
| 78500 | medium | Deribit OI 646 BTC (~$49m) | 2026-11-07 |
| 82000 | medium | Deribit OI 420 BTC (~$32m) | 2026-11-07 |
As of 06 November 2026, our multi-factor bias score for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is -0.30 - a neutral. The score combines range stretch (1W and 3M), CFTC COT positioning, seasonality and macro momentum.
Large speculators are net +2,720 contracts on BTC (88.8% of the 2-year range). Extremes above 85% or below 15% often precede reversals.
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VIX 28.18 (98.8% 1y percentile) · Macro 20d: oil -2.6% · gold -1.1% · USD -0.65%
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