| Contract | Net (Large Specs) | 2y percentile | Read | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR | -72,447 | 0.9% | short-heavy extreme | 2026-07-28 |
| USD | +17,197 | 93.5% | long-heavy extreme | 2026-07-28 |
| Level | Size | Note | Expiry |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1575 | medium | DTCC 150m expiry≤2w (report 2026-08-06) | 2026-08-10 |
| 1.16 | medium | DTCC 225m expiry≤2w (report 2026-08-06) | 2026-08-11 |
| 1.162 | medium | DTCC 293m expiry≤2w (report 2026-08-06) | 2026-08-11 |
As of 08 August 2026, our multi-factor bias score for EUR/USD is +2.31 - a LONG lean. The score combines range stretch (1W and 3M), CFTC COT positioning, seasonality and macro momentum.
Large speculators are net -72,447 contracts on EUR (0.9% of the 2-year range). Extremes above 85% or below 15% often precede reversals.
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VIX 15.15 (11.2% 1y percentile) · Macro 20d: oil 11.0% · gold 2.8% · USD -1.04%
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