| Contract | Net (Large Specs) | 2y percentile | Read | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR | -26,993 | 21.5% | neutral zone | 2026-09-15 |
| USD | +10,593 | 76.6% | neutral zone | 2026-09-15 |
| Level | Size | Note | Expiry |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.147 | large | DTCC 758m expiry≤2w (report 2026-09-18) | 2026-09-21 |
| 1.1425 | medium | DTCC 150m expiry≤2w (report 2026-09-18) | 2026-09-22 |
| 1.146 | medium | DTCC 160m expiry≤2w (report 2026-09-18) | 2026-09-22 |
As of 21 September 2026, our multi-factor bias score for EUR/USD is +1.25 - a mild long lean. The score combines range stretch (1W and 3M), CFTC COT positioning, seasonality and macro momentum.
Large speculators are net -26,993 contracts on EUR (21.5% of the 2-year range). Extremes above 85% or below 15% often precede reversals.
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VIX 14.81 (6.2% 1y percentile) · Macro 20d: oil 11.7% · gold -4.9% · USD 1.61%
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