Macro Growth — Buy Great Companies at Their Own Dips

MODEL PORTFOLIO — 10/10 OPEN IDEAS ?

Name	Registered	Entry	Now	P/L	Context
CRMHOLD	2026-08-11	$197.51	$234.02	+18.5%	-25.1% at entry · seasonal window
NOWHOLD	2026-08-11	$127.44	$135.62	+6.4%	-7.0% at entry · seasonal window
MELIHOLD	2026-08-15	$1,844.58	$1,752.61	-5.0%	-32.7% at entry
FISVHOLD	2026-08-15	$54.39	$46.48	-14.5%	-21.8% at entry
CTSHHOLD	2026-08-15	$58.79	$57.33	-2.5%	-21.5% at entry · seasonal window
ADBEHOLD	2026-08-15	$264.02	$235.47	-10.8%	-1.1% at entry
ZMHOLD	2026-08-29	$98.43	$89.71	-8.9%	-16.7% at entry
INTUHOLD	2026-09-05	$332.70	$275.79	-17.1%	-5.1% at entry · seasonal window
OMCHOLD	2026-09-19	$76.57	$76.15	-0.5%	-16.1% at entry · seasonal window
BKNGBUY	2026-09-26	$163.95	$163.95	+0.0%	-6.2% at entry · seasonal window

Every idea is registered the day it enters its dip zone and re-checked every run: HOLD while the opportunity breathes · SELL when price returns to normal valuation (+25% above the current dip value) or the quality thesis breaks · SWAP when a meaningfully deeper opportunity appears and the book is full. Nothing is ever quietly forgotten.

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In The Dip Zone Now ?

Price at or below the average of the five dip-anchored models. Struck-through models are outliers (excluded from the average).

MELIIN DIP ZONE price $1,752.61 · dip value $2,742.60 · -36.1% vs dip · seasonality +6.2% (ON)

Dip-PE (own p15): $1,435.78Dip-P/S (own p15): $2,879.37Dip-P/FCF (own p15): $3,598.42Analyst LOW: $1,750.00

FISVIN DIP ZONE price $46.48 · dip value $69.53 · -33.2% vs dip · seasonality +1.6% (ON)

Dip-PE (own p15): $81.22PEG 1.2: $188.16Dip-P/S (own p15): $71.67Dip-P/FCF (own p15): $79.25Analyst LOW: $46.00

CRMIN DIP ZONE price $234.02 · dip value $329.19 · -28.9% vs dip · seasonality +5.3% (ON)

PEG 1.2: $111.83Dip-P/S (own p15): $284.78Dip-P/FCF (own p15): $487.78Analyst LOW: $215.00

ZMIN DIP ZONE price $89.71 · dip value $118.15 · -24.1% vs dip · seasonality n/a

PEG 1.2: $164.37Dip-P/S (own p15): $86.08Analyst LOW: $104.00

CTSHIN DIP ZONE price $57.33 · dip value $74.93 · -23.5% vs dip · seasonality +4.4% (ON)

Dip-PE (own p15): $81.05PEG 1.2: $68.97Dip-P/S (own p15): $87.84Dip-P/FCF (own p15): $85.77Analyst LOW: $51.00

INTUIN DIP ZONE price $275.79 · dip value $350.51 · -21.3% vs dip · seasonality +3.4% (ON)

Dip-PE (own p15): $358.68PEG 1.2: $336.22Dip-P/S (own p15): $286.68Dip-P/FCF (own p15): $480.97Analyst LOW: $290.00

OMCIN DIP ZONE price $76.15 · dip value $91.27 · -16.6% vs dip · seasonality +5.1% (ON)

Dip-PE (own p15): $21.79Dip-P/S (own p15): $102.92Dip-P/FCF (own p15): $87.88Analyst LOW: $83.00

ADBEIN DIP ZONE price $235.47 · dip value $275.61 · -14.6% vs dip · seasonality +4.3% (ON)

Dip-PE (own p15): $352.86PEG 1.2: $196.21Dip-P/S (own p15): $255.64Dip-P/FCF (own p15): $383.35Analyst LOW: $190.00

BKNGIN DIP ZONE price $163.95 · dip value $174.79 · -6.2% vs dip · seasonality +8.2% (ON)

Dip-PE (own p15): $126.10PEG 1.2: $239.76Dip-P/S (own p15): $112.78Dip-P/FCF (own p15): $207.33Analyst LOW: $188.00

NOWIN DIP ZONE price $135.62 · dip value $136.99 · -1.0% vs dip · seasonality +6.5% (ON)

PEG 1.2: $58.20Dip-P/S (own p15): $166.39Dip-P/FCF (own p15): $159.57Analyst LOW: $85.00

VRSKIN DIP ZONE price $169.21 · dip value $170.73 · -0.9% vs dip · seasonality +4.2% (ON)

Dip-PE (own p15): $169.58PEG 1.2: $67.03Dip-P/S (own p15): $133.08Dip-P/FCF (own p15): $195.26Analyst LOW: $185.00

Earnings normalization applied: CRM (EPS normalized: TTM 11.78 → FY 7.85 (πιθανά one-offs)) · ZM (EPS normalized: TTM 11.08 → FY 6.32 (πιθανά one-offs)) · BKNG (EPS normalized: TTM 9.39 → FY 6.66 (πιθανά one-offs)) · AMZN (EPS normalized: TTM 12.58 → FY 7.29 (πιθανά one-offs)) · GOOG (EPS normalized: TTM 20.1 → FY 10.91 (πιθανά one-offs)) · ADSK (EPS normalized: TTM 7.78 → FY 5.28 (πιθανά one-offs)) · GOOGL (EPS normalized: TTM 20.1 → FY 10.91 (πιθανά one-offs)) · ROP (EPS normalized: TTM 24.48 → FY 14.31 (πιθανά one-offs)) · QCOM (EPS normalized: TTM 8.76 → FY 5.06 (πιθανά one-offs)). TTM earnings inflated vs the last full year are treated as suspect one-offs — models use the fiscal-year figure.

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Approaching The Zone (0–12% above dip) ?

Name	Price	Dip Buy Price	Premium to dip	Seasonality next 2m
NFLX	$71.14	$65.99	+7.8%	+7.2% (ON)
AMZN	$249.67	$229.88	+8.6%	+4.0% (ON)

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Universe — Distance From Own Dip ?

67 names evaluated of 123 screened — the scan STARTS from the names nearest their 52-week lows (that is where dips live). Sorted by premium to dip value — the top of this table is where opportunity lives. Seasonality ? shows each stock's own average return for the next two calendar months across ~20 years.

Name	Price	Dip Buy	Premium	vs 52w Low	Dip PE	EPS g5y	Gross M.	Season 2m
TSMEXCLUDED	$450.61	$4,146.13	-89.1%	+68.9%	12.6×	28.4%	64.2%	+5.3% (ON)
CMCSAEXCLUDED	$21.91	$48.41	-54.7%	+3.0%	9.0×	18.7%	69.4%	+1.4% (ON)
MELI	$1,752.61	$2,742.60	-36.1%	+17.2%	39.1×	n/a%	42.7%	+6.2% (ON)
FISV	$46.48	$69.53	-33.2%	+3.0%	15.5×	34.7%	47.2%	+1.6% (ON)
CRM	$234.02	$329.19	-28.9%	+59.9%	n/a×	11.9%	77.3%	+5.3% (ON)
ZM	$89.71	$118.15	-24.1%	+26.9%	n/a×	21.7%	77.3%	n/a
CTSH	$57.33	$74.93	-23.5%	+54.6%	17.0×	12.1%	32.0%	+4.4% (ON)
INTU	$275.79	$350.51	-21.3%	+9.1%	21.4×	16.7%	80.9%	+3.4% (ON)
OMC	$76.15	$91.27	-16.6%	+14.8%	11.4×	n/a%	17.5%	+5.1% (ON)
ADBE	$235.47	$275.61	-14.6%	+23.9%	19.1×	8.9%	89.1%	+4.3% (ON)
BKNG	$163.95	$174.79	-6.2%	+9.2%	18.9×	158.6%	100.0%	+8.2% (ON)
NOW	$135.62	$136.99	-1.0%	+66.9%	n/a×	69.7%	74.8%	+6.5% (ON)
VRSK	$169.21	$170.73	-0.9%	+8.5%	25.0×	8.2%	67.7%	+4.2% (ON)
NFLX	$71.14	$65.99	7.8%	+9.3%	27.1×	32.6%	49.1%	+7.2% (ON)
TBBEXCLUDED	$19.21	$17.70	8.5%	+0.6%	6.7×	n/a%	59.7%	-2.7% (ON)
AMZN	$249.67	$229.88	8.6%	+27.4%	33.7×	27.9%	50.8%	+4.0% (ON)
VEEV	$280.68	$239.20	17.3%	+89.6%	52.9×	17.1%	74.9%	+2.8% (ON)
CPAY	$398.11	$338.24	17.7%	+57.5%	19.7×	12.7%	73.3%	+4.6% (ON)
GOOG	$341.08	$289.63	17.8%	+44.1%	21.5×	29.8%	60.9%	+6.9% (ON)
ADSK	$209.40	$176.82	18.4%	+12.9%	26.5×	-0.8%	91.2%	+4.0% (ON)
GOOGL	$343.92	$289.63	18.7%	+45.8%	21.5×	29.8%	60.9%	+6.6% (ON)
FOXEXCLUDED	$56.54	$46.41	21.8%	+28.3%	10.1×	1.9%	49.4%	+6.2% (ON)
DIS	$106.16	$83.72	26.8%	+15.1%	13.8×	n/a%	37.6%	+4.8% (ON)
VZEXCLUDED	$47.08	$37.13	26.8%	+22.6%	9.6×	-1.1%	59.1%	+1.8% (ON)
ROP	$358.56	$278.21	28.9%	+17.2%	19.8×	9.5%	69.5%	+4.8% (ON)
ORCL	$137.08	$101.98	34.4%	+19.7%	16.6×	4.9%	63.9%	+2.1% (ON)
TEXCLUDED	$25.39	$18.45	37.6%	+27.7%	6.7×	n/a%	59.7%	-0.6% (ON)
FOXAEXCLUDED	$63.07	$45.34	39.1%	+30.5%	10.8×	1.4%	49.4%	n/a
APP	$310.75	$218.94	41.9%	+4.5%	n/a×	n/a%	88.5%	n/a
META	$751.66	$519.06	44.8%	+44.5%	17.1×	18.6%	81.7%	+1.9% (ON)
SMCI	$43.26	$29.14	48.5%	+122.1%	8.0×	46.0%	10.8%	+0.7% (ON)
ADP	$263.67	$170.17	54.9%	+40.1%	16.5×	12.5%	48.2%	+6.3% (ON)
IBM	$225.51	$142.75	58.0%	+13.2%	11.4×	12.6%	58.4%	-1.6% (ON)
ISRG	$405.18	$253.32	59.9%	+23.3%	26.5×	21.5%	66.7%	+7.1% (ON)
QCOM	$201.97	$121.05	66.8%	+65.6%	16.1×	2.0%	54.2%	+5.0% (ON)
MSFT	$516.17	$301.37	71.3%	+47.8%	13.2×	17.3%	67.9%	+5.5% (ON)
ANET	$206.55	$120.33	71.7%	+80.4%	27.6×	39.9%	63.0%	+10.0% (ON)
FFIV	$443.06	$255.54	73.4%	+98.0%	22.8×	18.8%	82.2%	+6.3% (ON)
TDY	$614.15	$343.76	78.7%	+27.1%	13.1×	11.5%	39.0%	+3.7% (ON)
NTAP	$201.15	$112.42	78.9%	+114.7%	15.2×	14.3%	70.6%	+3.5% (ON)

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Closed Ideas — Track Record ?

Name	Held	Entry → Exit	Result	Why closed
CMCSA	2026-08-15 → 2026-09-26	$26.18 → $21.91	-16.3%	thesis broken: DATA-SUSPECT: premium < -50% — πιθανό currency/data mismatch, όχι ευκαιρία
NFLX	2026-08-11 → 2026-09-19	$76.29 → $71.79	-5.9%	SWAP → OMC (deeper opportunity, -16.1% vs 8.8%)

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Methodology: universe = US-listed growth franchises, cap ≥ $20B (Technology, Communication Services + selected compounders) → five dip-anchored models per name (own 20y p15 P/E × EPS · PEG 1.2 · own p15 P/S × revenue/share · own p15 P/FCF × FCF/share · lowest analyst target) with outlier exclusion → Discounted Buy Price = average of valid models → quality gates (5y revenue growth ≥3%, gross-margin integrity, data-integrity checks — anything absurdly cheap is treated as broken data, not a bargain) → seasonality timing gate → journaled model portfolio (max 10) with explicit BUY / HOLD / SELL / SWAP signals. Sources: FMP, company filings. Educational research journaling a systematic process — not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Terms · Privacy · Risk Disclosure

INVESTINGBRIDGE · Macro Growth

In The Dip Zone Now ?

Approaching The Zone (0–12% above dip) ?

Universe — Distance From Own Dip ?

Closed Ideas — Track Record ?